2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Open Discussion

The official numbers from Colorado State are out!

engr.source.colostate.edu/csu-researchers-predicting-above-average-2021-atlantic-hurricane-season/

17 Named Storms
8 Hurricanes
4 Major Hurricanes

Average is 14/7/3

I don’t know what to think about this season. One very prominent weather observation of mine is daily surface winds. They never calmed in 2005, last year and so far this year. What if anything does it mean? Who knows. Seems to possibly suggest a connection to steering
winds from the Gulf imo. The N central Gulfcoast is also in the hairs of some respected forecasters. Except for a few low end outlooks it looks by far at or above average. These forecasts do bust historically but if anything they have been wrong on the low side. I’m hoping for a struggling basin into August. Everyday with dust, sheer, cooler waters, sinking air and land interaction is a win. On the flip side I fear for at least 2 majors in the Gulf. I keep thinking Mother Nature will take a break. However, recent history shows different. She could care less about our climatology numbers and statistics. NOAA has already upped averages from this point moving forward. This will be one of the most significant seasons to me ever. Low or high numbers, I think hurricane science and it’s participants are on edge. I am. These are my OPINIONS and thoughts. Not all science. We have all gone through sooo much this last year. And he we go again???